Oracle - AI Stock Analysis

Analysis generated November 19, 2025

Oracle Corporation, founded in 1977 and based in Redwood Shores, California, is a multinational technology company that offers a comprehensive and fully integrated stack of cloud applications, platform services, and engineered systems. Oracle is best known for its Oracle Database software, one of the most popular database management systems in the world.

Over the years, Oracle has diversified its product offerings and operations, extending into the fields of enterprise software, cloud solutions, and hardware solutions. The company's aim is to simplify IT and assist businesses by providing integrated IT solutions in an efficient and cost-effective manner.

Fundamental Analysis

Oracle reported revenue of $14.9 billion for the last quarter, a decrease of 6.14% compared to the previous quarter. While this quarterly decrease might be concerning, it's essential to note that this figure represents a healthy 12.17% increase compared to the same quarter last year. This year-over-year growth indicates a positive long-term trend despite short-term volatility.

The company's net income for the last quarter stood at $2.93 billion, showing a decrease of 14.59% compared to the previous quarter but only a slight decline (0.07%) compared to the same period last year. This stability on a year-over-year basis suggests the company is maintaining profitability even amidst short-term challenges.

EBITDA for the last quarter was reported at $4.77 billion, suggesting a concerning decrease of 30.12% from the previous quarter and a 12.30% decline compared to the same quarter last year. This drop may raise concerns for investors regarding the company's operational efficiency and cash flow situation in the short term.

With a current P/E ratio of 51.01, Oracle may be perceived as overvalued, signaling potential caution to investors. This high ratio could imply that the market expects significant future growth, or it may indicate overvaluation in the current market context.

Recent insider selling activity by company executives might also be a bearish sign, reflecting decreased confidence in the company's stock price performance in the near future. Such activities often signal insiders' belief that the stock may be overvalued or they might anticipate unfavorable eventualities.

Technical Analysis

Oracle's stock price, currently at $225.53, has decreased by 22.58% compared to a month ago, indicating short-term bearish sentiment. However, when looking at a broader timeframe, we see an increase of 19.44% from a year ago, signifying a positive long-term trend.

The trend remains bearish, as highlighted by the current Simple Moving Average (SMA10) of $225.60, which is lower than the previous SMA10 of $226.97. This suggests a potential downward movement in stock price. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 45.5, indicating a neutral condition — not oversold nor overbought — yet suggesting that the market might be experiencing a period of indecision.

Alternative Data Analysis

Oracle is markedly boosting its hiring capabilities with a reported 5,950 open positions, up by 138% in recent months. This significant increase in job postings indicates Oracle's intentions to expand and grow, generally a healthy sign for any company.

Customer engagement metrics also show positive trends. Website visits have increased by 10% in recent months to an estimated 25 million visitors, hinting at growing interest and potential customer acquisition. Additionally, Oracle's social media presence shows growth with a 3% increase in Instagram followers to 380,000 and stable metrics on Twitter with 830,000 followers.

The app download rate remains constant with approximately 670 daily downloads, suggesting steady user engagement with Oracle's mobile applications.

The AltIndex AI score, which considers fundamental, technical, and alternative data, gives Oracle a score of 61, indicating a buy signal based on its current metrics.

Conclusion

Overall, Oracle presents a mixed bag when analyzing its stock potential. On the fundamental side, the year-over-year growth in revenue is positive, but recent declines in net income and EBITDA raise concerns. The high P/E ratio and insider selling activity might also suggest caution.

From a technical perspective, the recent short-term decline and bearish trend may pose risks for investors, but long-term performance looks promising based on a yearly increase.

Alternative data provides a more optimistic outlook, showing significant growth in job postings and a consistent increase in online and social media engagement. These factors indicate Oracle's strategic expansion and sustained customer interest.

In light of these findings, while short-term caution may be advised due to technical and fundamental concerns, the long-term growth prospects derived from alternative data and year-over-year performance suggest a balanced view. Potential investors might consider Oracle as a longer-term play, keeping a close watch on upcoming financial results and market sentiment shifts.

Disclaimer: This AI stock analysis, generated by an experimental AI tool, is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Information is based on publicly available data and may not always be accurate or current.