Newmont - AI Stock Analysis

Analysis generated December 3, 2025

Newmont Corporation is a leading gold producer, with operations across several continents, including North America, South America, and Australia. It ranks among the top largest public gold producers globally, featuring an impressive portfolio of high-quality assets. The company's core business revolves around gold production, exploration, and development. As a giant in the mining industry, Newmont has a significant influence on the precious metal markets.

Fundamental Analysis

Revenue for the last quarter was $5.38 billion, an increase of 1.99% compared to the previous quarter. This uptick in revenue is a positive indicator of growth. Compared to the same quarter last year, there is a significant increase of 16.96%, reinforcing a strong year-over-year growth trajectory. This kind of revenue increase is fundamental for long-term financial health and suggests that the company has effective strategies in place to drive sales.

Net income for the last quarter stood at $1.83 billion. Despite an 11.11% decrease compared to the previous quarter, which signals potential issues, the net income has risen by 98.70% compared to the same quarter last year. This year-over-year growth indicates robust earnings power and effective cost management strategies over the long term.

EBITDA for the last quarter was $3.33 billion. This represents a decrease of 14.44% compared to the quarter before it, signaling potential concerns around operational efficiency or rising costs. However, a year-over-year increase of 74.27% indicates that despite short-term issues, the company remains fundamentally strong and continues to grow earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization.

The current P/E ratio is 14.07, which is within a normal range. This suggests that Newmont's stock is neither overvalued nor undervalued compared to industry standards. P/E ratio is crucial for investors as it helps evaluate the market's expectations of a company's future earnings.

It's worth noting that there have been a couple of instances of insider selling, which can sometimes be a bearish signal suggesting insiders believe the stock may be overvalued.

Technical Analysis

Today’s stock price is $90.76, which represents an impressive 11.50% increase compared to a month ago, indicating a positive short-term trend. Over a longer period, the stock price has increased substantially by 122.89% compared to a year ago, indicating a strong long-term bullish trend.

The current SMA10 (Simple Moving Average over 10 days) is $89.86, higher than the previous SMA10 of $89.11. This suggests an upward trend in the price movement, reinforcing a bullish outlook. Moreover, with an RSI (Relative Strength Index) of 21.8, the stock may be considered oversold, often a bullish condition suggesting the potential for a price rebound.

Alternative Data Analysis

From an alternative data perspective, Newmont has 38 open positions, down by 10% in recent months, indicating a potential focus on cost-cutting or margin improvement rather than growth. For a large, growth-oriented company, this may not be an ideal sign.

Employee sentiment at Newmont is reported as neutral, which does not provide a strong sense of optimism but also does not signal any significant concerns internally.

Customer acquisition metrics are stable, with an estimated 160,000 visitors to their website, showing no meaningful increase or decrease over the past few months. Customer engagement is also stable, with 29,000 Twitter followers showing no significant change. Stability in these figures means there aren't red flags but also no signs of robust growth in customer interest.

AltIndex’s AI score for Newmont is 54, which is a hold signal, indicating neither a strong buy nor strong sell recommendation based on a composite of fundamental, technical, and alternative data analyses.

Conclusion and Recommendation

Based on this extensive analysis, Newmont presents a mixed yet cautiously optimistic picture. The company's strong revenue and net income growth year-over-year underscore its robust business model. Short-term declines in EBITDAs and net income may concern some investors, but the overall financial health remains strong. Technically, the stock demonstrates a bullish trend both in the short and long term, supported by price movements, SMA10, and an oversold RSI.

However, the alternative data, including job posting declines and stagnant customer engagement, suggest a cautious approach may be warranted. With an AI score from AltIndex indicating a hold, a prudent recommendation would be to monitor existing holdings without making significant new investments. As always, potential investors should consider their individual risk tolerance and investment strategy.

Disclaimer: This AI stock analysis, generated by an experimental AI tool, is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Information is based on publicly available data and may not always be accurate or current.