Emcor Group - AI Stock Analysis

Analysis generated November 4, 2025

Emcor Group, Inc. (EME) is a leading provider of mechanical and electrical construction services, industrial and energy infrastructure, and building services. The company operates a network of subsidiaries across the United States and the United Kingdom, offering a wide range of services, from underground installation and environmental systems to fire protection systems. Emcor prides itself on a diversified revenue stream, spanning sectors such as healthcare, commercial, industrial, and institutional markets.

Fundamental Analysis

Revenue for the last quarter was $4.3 billion. Compared to the prior quarter, this represents a slight decrease of 0.07%, indicating a need for caution regarding short-term growth. However, compared to the same quarter last year, revenue improved by 16.35%, highlighting robust year-over-year growth.

Net income for the last quarter was $295 million, which decreased by 2.25% from the previous quarter. This signals some concerns but is partly balanced by a 9.29% increase compared to the same quarter last year, suggesting an overall positive trajectory.

EBITDA for the last quarter was $455 million, down by 1.46% from the preceding quarter but up by 14.33% year-over-year. This implies that while there are minor fluctuations in operational profitability, the long-term outlook remains strong.

The current P/E ratio stands at 27.17. This elevated number might indicate an overvaluation of the stock or robust investor sentiment, potentially signaling a bearish outlook for price correction.

Technical Analysis

Today's stock price is $654.38, showing a subtle increase of 0.03% from a month ago, indicating a positive short-term trend. More impressively, over the past year, the stock has surged by 37.81%, suggesting a strong long-term trend.

The trend is currently bearish as indicated by a declining Simple Moving Average (SMA). The current SMA10 is 703.48, down from the previous SMA10 of 712.86. This suggests a potential downward momentum.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 73.1. An RSI above 70 is typically viewed as overbought, signaling that the stock price might be due for a decline.

Alternative Data Analysis

Job postings for Emcor Group have surged by 134% over the past couple of months to reach 1,000 open positions. This indicates a company gearing up for growth, which is a positive sign. However, employee sentiment reveals that only 0% of employees have a positive business outlook—a significant concern regarding internal confidence.

Customer acquisition trends are favorable; the company's website traffic has risen by 23% to 32,000 visitors, suggesting increasing interest and potential customer base expansion. Additionally, social media engagement has improved; Instagram followers have grown by 15% to 1,200, reflecting heightened public interest.

AltIndex’s AI score for Emcor Group stands at 68, categorizing it as a buy, based on an algorithm that integrates fundamental, technical, and alternative data.

Conclusion and Recommendation

Emcor Group's stock presents a mixed bag. The company demonstrates robust year-over-year growth in revenue, net income, and EBITDA, showing a resilient long-term operational performance. However, short-term financial declines warrant monitoring. Technical indicators such as the declining SMA and high RSI suggest a bearish trend. Nonetheless, increased job postings and rising customer interest reflect positive future growth potential.

Investment decisions in Emcor should weigh the immediate bearish technical indicators against the promising long-term fundamentals and growing interest from customers. Based on a comprehensive analysis, a prudent recommendation would be to consider Emcor Group as a cautious buy, keeping a close watch on short-term market movements.

Disclaimer: This AI stock analysis, generated by an experimental AI tool, is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Information is based on publicly available data and may not always be accurate or current.