Dutch Bros Coffee - AI Stock Analysis

Analysis generated January 10, 2026

Dutch Bros Coffee is a prominent drive-thru coffee chain known for its unique combos of coffee and energy drinks. The company has significantly expanded its footprint across the United States, attracting a loyal customer base. The distinctive culture and energetic customer service have contributed to its rising popularity. Overall, Dutch Bros Coffee is in the growth phase, continually opening new locations and exploring new markets.

Fundamental Analysis

Dutch Bros Coffee reported total revenue of $424 million in the last quarter. This figure represents a quarter-over-quarter increase of 1.87%, signaling consistent growth. More impressively, when compared to the same quarter last year, revenue is up by 25.24%, which is a substantial year-over-year improvement.

The company's net income for the last quarter was $17 million. However, this number shows a drop of 31.72% from the previous quarter, indicating potential hurdles in maintaining profitability. Despite this, the year-over-year comparison is more encouraging, with a rise of 38.37%.

EBITDA for the last quarter stood at $68 million. Again, while there is a 6.95% drop compared to the prior quarter, the year-over-year increase of 19.73% portrays positive longer-term trends.

The current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is 128.69. Such a high P/E ratio could be indicative of an overvalued stock and a bearish sentiment among investors. Moreover, recent insider selling is another bearish signal, suggesting some loss of confidence within the company.

Technical Analysis

The current stock price is $62.37, which represents a 2.23% increase over the past month, highlighting a positive short-term trend. Compared to a year ago, there is a 9.02% increase, suggesting a positive long-term trend and a bullish outlook.

The Simple Moving Average (SMA) for the last 10 days is $62.21, slightly up from the previous SMA10 of $62.09. This points to a potential upward trend in price movement.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently stands at 66.2, which classifies as a neutral condition, neither overbought nor oversold.

Alternative Data Analysis

Dutch Bros Coffee has seen a reduction in job postings, currently standing at 385, down by 21% over the last couple of months. This could be a measure to improve margins or cut costs, which isn't favorable for a company in its growth phase.

The business outlook among employees remains neutral, not signaling any significant positive or negative sentiment internally.

On a brighter note, customer acquisition metrics show significant promise. Dutch Bros Coffee's website attracted approximately 3.4 million visitors recently, up by 55% in the last couple of months, indicating a potential spike in customer interest and sales.

Social media metrics also provide mixed insights. Instagram followers have increased by 7% to 1.3 million, reflecting growing interest. Conversely, Twitter followers decreased by 7%, coming down to 190,000, indicating some lost interest on that platform.

According to AltIndex's AI score, Dutch Bros Coffee has an AI score of 53, suggesting a hold signal based on the combined analysis of fundamental, technical, and alternative data.

Conclusion and Recommendation

Dutch Bros Coffee exhibits both encouraging and cautionary signals. Financially, the company shows robust year-over-year revenue and net income growth, albeit with concerning quarterly declines. The high P/E ratio and insider selling underscore potential overvaluation.

Technically, the stock appears to have a bullish trend with consistent price increases and a positive SMA10. However, the neutral RSI does not strongly support an immediate buying decision.

The alternative data indicates potential growth in customer interest but also highlights some cost-cutting initiatives possibly indicative of internal challenges.

Based on these varied data points, the recommendation for Dutch Bros Coffee stock would be to hold. There is clear potential for growth, but the existing risks and mixed signals warrant caution.

Disclaimer: This AI stock analysis, generated by an experimental AI tool, is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Information is based on publicly available data and may not always be accurate or current.