ASML - AI Stock Analysis

Analysis generated January 10, 2026

ASML is a key player in the semiconductor industry, specializing in the design and manufacturing of photolithography machines used for producing integrated circuits. As the only supplier of extreme ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines, ASML has a unique market position and serves major semiconductor manufacturers around the world.

Fundamental Analysis

For the last quarter, ASML reported revenue of $7.52 billion. This marks a minor decrease of 2.28% from the previous quarter, signaling a need for vigilance. However, when compared to the same quarter last year, revenue increased by 0.65%, suggesting positive year-over-year growth.

The net income for the last quarter came in at $2.12 billion. This represents a substantial decrease of 20.62% from the previous quarter, highlighting potential short-term challenges. Yet, on a year-over-year basis, net income was up by 2.31%, indicating a more positive long-term outlook.

EBITDA for the last quarter was $2.84 billion, decreasing by 22.15% from the previous quarter, which could be seen as a red flag. Nevertheless, EBITDA has risen by 6.14% year-over-year, showcasing some underlying financial strength.

The current P/E ratio stands at 42.19. This relatively high value can be interpreted as potential overvaluation, meriting careful consideration for investors given the bearish outlook this implies.

Technical Analysis

The current stock price is $1,273.88, which is an increase of 13.81% compared to a month ago. This suggests a positive short-term trend. Year-over-year, the stock price has surged by 74.76%, indicating a robust long-term trend.

The SMA10 is currently at 1,200.21, up from the previous SMA10 of 1,179.81. This upward movement indicates a potential positive trend in price action. The RSI is at 46.8, representing a neutral condition and not indicating overbought or oversold conditions.

Alternative Data Analysis

ASML has 485 open positions, an increase of 26% over the last couple of months, indicating a company poised for growth and expansion. This is generally considered a healthy sign. Employee sentiment remains neutral, providing a balanced internal outlook.

In terms of customer acquisition, ASML's website garners approximately 1.1 million visitors, with no significant changes in recent months. Customer engagement metrics are also positive, with their Instagram follower count rising by 9% to 38,000 and Twitter followers increasing by 9% to 52,000. This heightened interest could potentially translate to better market perception.

According to AltIndex's AI score, ASML has a score of 70, which is interpreted as a buy signal. This score integrates fundamental, technical, and alternative data insights to provide a comprehensive assessment.

Conclusion and Recommendation

ASML presents a complex yet promising investment opportunity. While there are concerns related to recent quarter-over-quarter declines in revenue, net income, and EBITDA, the year-over-year growth paints a more optimistic picture. The high P/E ratio suggests potential overvaluation, making it crucial to weigh short-term risks against long-term gains.

From a technical standpoint, the stock is in a bullish phase, corroborated by an increasing SMA10 and a substantial year-over-year price rise. The RSI suggests a neutral market condition, allowing room for movement in either direction.

The alternative data points underpin consistent interest and engagement, essential non-financial indicators supporting market perception. Additionally, the AltIndex AI score of 70 offers a strong vote of confidence.

Overall, ASML stock may be considered for a well-diversified portfolio, particularly for investors looking for long-term growth opportunities. However, caution is advised due to potential short-term volatility.

Disclaimer: This AI stock analysis, generated by an experimental AI tool, is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Information is based on publicly available data and may not always be accurate or current.