Ambev - AI Stock Analysis

Analysis generated January 27, 2026

Ambev S.A. (NYSE: ABEV) is one of the largest beverage companies in the world, with a prominent presence in Latin America. The company produces, distributes, and sells alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages. Its portfolio includes well-known brands such as Skol, Brahma, Antarctica, Pepsi, and many others. As a key player in the beverage industry, Ambev's performance is often closely monitored by investors due to its influential market share and strategic importance in the sector.

Fundamental Analysis

The company reported a revenue of 20.8B in the last quarter, indicating a 3.77% increase compared to the previous quarter. This is a positive sign as it suggests growth in a short-term timeframe. However, when compared to the same quarter last year, revenue has decreased by 5.65%, which could be a cause for concern and suggests potential challenges in maintaining consistent year-over-year growth.

Net income saw a significant rise, reaching 4.75B, which is a 74.60% increase compared to the previous quarter. This substantial increase highlights strong profitability in the short term. Moreover, compared to the same quarter last year, net income increased by 37.13%, reinforcing positive year-over-year growth.

EBITDA for the last quarter was 7.53B, up by 32.39% from the previous quarter, indicating robust operational efficiency and profitability. Additionally, this is an 8.00% increase from the same quarter last year, suggesting continued improvement in operational performance year over year.

The current Price to Earnings (P/E) ratio is 13.9, which appears to be within a normal and acceptable range for the industry, neither too high to suggest overvaluation nor too low to indicate undervaluation. This balance suggests that the stock is reasonably priced based on its earnings.

Technical Analysis

Today's stock price stands at 2.84, which has increased by 16.87% compared to a month ago. This substantial rise indicates a positive short-term trend. Over the past year, the stock price has risen by 67.06%, showing a strong long-term bullish trend.

The current Simple Moving Average (SMA10) is 2.72, higher than the previous SMA10 of 2.69, indicating a potential upward trend in price movement. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at 50, positioning the stock in a neutral condition without strong momentum in either direction.

Alternative Data Analysis

The number of job postings at Ambev is stable at 245, which reflects a stable workforce and no immediate signs of expansion or contraction. Employee sentiment is neutral, suggesting that there is no significant concern or enthusiasm among the workforce.

Ambev’s customer acquisition shows an estimated 280,000 visitors to their webpage. However, this number has dropped by 44% over the past few months, a worrisome trend that might indicate a loss in customer interest or engagement.

Additionally, AltIndex’s AI score—a predictive tool that aggregates various dimensions of data—gives Ambev a score of 40, which is a sell signal. This could suggest underlying concerns not fully captured by traditional and technical indicators.

Conclusion and Recommendation

Considering all the data provided, Ambev presents a mixed bag of potential. On one hand, the last quarter's financials show strong short-term improvements with substantial increases in net income and EBITDA, indicating robust operational and profitability metrics. However, the year-over-year decrease in revenue and the significant drop in webpage visitors pose concerns about the company's longer-term sustainability and customer engagement strategies.

The technical indicators show a clear bullish trend in both short-term and long-term perspectives, which is encouraging for potential investors. However, with the neutral RSI and stable job postings indicating relative stabilization without aggressive growth, combined with the AI score suggesting a sell signal, caution is warranted.

Given these mixed signals, the recommendation is to watch and evaluate more closely. While the company shows promising short-term gains and technical bullishness, the underlying concerns from alternative data and AI scores suggest it may be wise to approach with caution.

Disclaimer: This AI stock analysis, generated by an experimental AI tool, is for informational purposes only and not financial advice. Information is based on publicly available data and may not always be accurate or current.