ASTS Is Up 370% - We Called It Early and Here’s What’s Next
January 15, 6:44 pm
AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) is up more than 370% over the past year, with shares now trading around $101.
The surge has pushed the stock back into the spotlight, with ASTS once again trending on Reddit. Recent contract momentum, continued progress on satellite deployment, and a more supportive U.S. policy environment for commercial space companies have all fueled renewed investor interest.
At AltIndex, we aren't surprised to see ASTS surge.
We Flagged ASTS Before the Run
In July 2024, when the AI score for ASTS jumped to 77, we issued a buy signal on ASTS as the stock was trading near $13 per share. Members who followed that signal are now sitting on gains of roughly 650%.
This call wasn’t based on speculation or short-term price action. It was driven by a clear shift in alternative data signals pointing to accelerating momentum well before the stock caught mainstream attention.
One of the strongest early indicators was a rise in job postings. Hiring growth is often one of the earliest signs that a company is preparing to scale, especially in capital-intensive industries like satellite manufacturing and aerospace.
At the same time, AltIndex detected a surge in retail and public interest:
- Rapid growth in followers across the company’s X and Facebook accounts
- Predominantly bullish sentiment across social platforms
- Increasing traffic to the company’s website, signaling growing awareness and investor curiosity
Together, these signals suggested that something fundamental was changing beneath the surface.
A Debated Stock on Reddit
Alongside the rally, ASTS has become one of the most actively discussed stocks on Reddit. Threads span everything from satellite launches and carrier partnerships to valuation concerns and long-term upside, with both bullish conviction and healthy skepticism on display.
That mix of enthusiasm and debate underscores the core question facing ASTS today: how much future success is already priced in. As the company moves into its next phase, the stock’s performance will hinge on execution and delivery against its ambitious roadmap, as much as on continued investor interest.
What Investors Should Watch Next
For investors evaluating whether ASTS still has upside - or whether the risk now outweighs the reward - several factors stand out:
-
Satellite Deployment Progress
AST SpaceMobile plans to deploy 45–60 BlueBird satellites by the end of 2026. Staying on schedule and avoiding technical delays will be critical for maintaining credibility. -
Commercial Service Rollout
The timing and quality of initial commercial services, including beta launches and activations with major carrier partners, will be a major inflection point for the business. -
Financial Health and Funding Strategy
ASTS remains in a capital-intensive growth phase. Investors should monitor cash burn, funding runway, and any signs of future dilution. -
Regulatory and Spectrum Milestones
Approvals and spectrum access will determine how quickly ASTS can scale services across key markets. -
Continued Growth in Job Postings
Sustained hiring growth would signal expanding engineering, manufacturing, and operational capacity - often a leading indicator of growth.
Bottom Line
AST SpaceMobile’s rally highlights how powerful retail momentum and renewed interest in space stocks can be when they align with real progress. Reddit attention has played an important role in bringing ASTS back into focus, amplifying developments that are already moving the company forward.
This is where alternative data becomes especially valuable. By tracking Reddit trends, job postings, sentiment, and business activity in real time, our Reddit alerts and buy signals help investors spot these shifts early and stay focused on what matters as ASTS moves into its next phase of launches, activations, and execution.
Get More Insights
Sign up and get access to a personalized dashboard, deeper insights, AI stock picks, stock alerts, weekly newsletter and much more.
